Funds from various quarters prices buy Apple continue to play drama
people have come to do business to vegetables, and pigs have come large, Hunan, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Qixia across the country are streaming to come. Apple's dealer acquisition more than last year are more than twice, almost every day asking people to buy points, and pay a premium price for our collection.
Qixia almost 953 administrative villages in the village growing apples, ripe apples every season, foreign vendors will appear in large and small villages, but this year more than in particular. This allows to do
reporters in the towns and villages in a rural Qixia peach street saw the road closed on both sides of Apple's , told reporters.
a local business 20 years, the fruit dealer named Hu said this year the dealer to buy too much. Shaanxi, and other major apple producing area because of disaster, drought and other reasons related to production cuts. The dealer said
emotion, enough to go round to them that the days of small dealers sad. ! Here Apple is about to go abroad the price is 3 a pound, so the low domestic price certainly can not. the retail price may be seven or eight dollars per catty. At present, most of the market to sell Apple last year, the price is not high.
first time this year to buy Apple Qixia vegetable dealer money boss told reporters, profits, so I try it this year. there are risks, we also prepared to do the loss-making. This year's price is really out of people expected Apple's high-ah. in the end is a loss is a profit, we do not mind the end of next year, the only other. br> In addition to flock to foreign distributors, local funds this year, also joined the Qixia this Hu Tai Po, said: Apple's revenue. Apple by the Apple's dealer acquisition this year too, the demand for cold storage at once stand out, the local large and small refrigerator Qixia will set up like mushrooms. Pan Wei
but am not optimistic about the dealer: but also to build so many cold storage. I dare say, this year's cold will certainly be a lot of space. Reporter found several hotels, have not found availability. A small hotel proprietress, said: people feel the country has come, it is estimated the price of apples this year, certainly not low ah. Hu Tai Po said, Some Like It Hot opposite, the farmers are not in a hurry to sell apples. Local growers Uncle Zhang told reporters that in previous years this season, almost all received Apple should pick over, but this year they received only a local maximum of about half of Apple.
reporter October 19 orchards in some local villagers see, does have large tracts of mature apples still hanging on the branches. flowers did not result, many people are cut out.
many dealers complained: , entertainment.
Apple capital of Shandong Province of China Qixia, dealers from all over the acquisition of Apple's
Hu Tai Po, said: Apple prices after October 23 will be the substantial decrease in frost phenomenon does not appear this year. October 24, a dealer said that the current local Apple basically pick over, but the price did not drop a little, and his acquisition of the task still not completed 500,000 kg. This fifty-six days before the press interview in the local investigation of the same price, but was still about half what Apple did not pick. Apple prices soaring at the same time, Zhengzhou, the main sugar contract ended Oct. 22 record high, the spot market price of sugar thrown in the State Reserve is still a strong case higher, and 11 in Guangdong in mid-delivery reports Jinling Sugar sugar warehouse 6830 yuan / ton. Also in Zhengzhou cotton futures price hit a record high October 22, and a large number of funds have been hoarding Xinjiang, grab cotton war in full swing.
interview experts, industry believes that the gap in supply and demand factors in the role, to bring ample liquidity in the hot money speculation turns making skyrocketing prices of agricultural products. From the previous Moreover, it may not be the last moments of madness. Supply and demand tension that existed, the state capacity is relatively weak market regulation is likely to be the next species speculation object, soybeans, soybean oil, or prices will be the next species.
high See also a new high is quoted as whether to follow up much suffering. And Apple, is expected to cut sugar cane sugar futures and spot market be the main reason for speculators.
the 10 trading days in October, the white sugar futures rose 16.14%, and from 18 May to 5 months since, sugar futures rose 41.46%. Futures margin of 10% if calculated in accordance with, to do more in this round of capital gains in the market should be more than 10 times.
few days ago, 6,500 yuan / ton of sugar is the Li Fan the psychological level, but only after 3 days, the sugar spot market price reached 6,900 yuan, close to 7,000 yuan mark. Follow-up, the front may be the abyss; retreat, Ta may be the best bull market ever. Li Fan is a
said Li Fan, sugar production is a quarter of annual sales of goods every year in November to next April for the production phase, which determines the year in October when the sugar inventory at least. With the new crop into the medium, which is about a year in January, the basic definition of sugar production, further increase if the market supply and demand gap, the price of sugar bound to rise.
10 22, the first crop season 2010/2011 State Reserve 21 million tons of sugar began to auctions with a starting price of 4,000 yuan / ton, prices have been soaring after the shooting, sunshine Lingyun Hai delivery of sugar storage by the end of October 2 o'clock in the afternoon, prices had more than 6,700 yuan / ton, and 11 in Guangdong in mid-delivery reports Jinling Sugar sugar warehouse 6830 yuan / ton.
State Reserve had been placed reserve 1.7 million tons of sugar, together with the 21 million tons this year, the State Reserve has nearly 200 million tons of sugar into the market. However, in a bull market, the intention to stabilize the price of sugar in the storage place, the market has another interpretation. Auction on the eve of sugar in the State Reserve, the industry pointed out that the auction that sold in mid-September than higher prices, when in turn boost the wholesale market price, thereby affecting the spot market price linkage increase. Is the case, auctions the same day, Liu sugar spot price 6,700 yuan, 6,900 yuan, Wuhan spot price, spot price 6850 yuan Changsha.
driven in the spot market this year, Zheng sugar for delivery in November contract closed at 6,UGG bailey button,539 yuan sr1011 / ton and hit a high of 6638 yuan. ZCE other line of white sugar futures rose 22, or 40 yuan to 202 yuan per month.
Sugar, who declined to be named,bailey UGG boots, said researchers, October 22, Liu sugar s10103 wholesale spot contract closed at 6648 yuan / ton, up 200 yuan, but the volume is only 200 hands (each Hand 5 tons). The day earlier, Liu sugar s10103 rose 120 closing price, trading volume is only 20 hand. This rally is obviously immeasurable hot money in speculation.
Li Fan, said: more than ready to retreat, sugar, old players are circles stand out.
fact, many industry experts believe that Guangxi, China Securities News, the survey found, although in some areas is very likely cut sugar cane, but the whole of Guangxi are not likely to cut production.
abnormal weather is the main producing areas sugar industry is expected to cut the main reason. Each year in February, March is the sugar cane during the seedling stage, the normal rainfall of up to 144 guests in Guangxi mm, but this year only 10 mm less than normal precipitation 94%. Guest sugarcane seedling drought missing, which is the main reason for the guest cut sugar cane. After April's low temperatures and 5 months, 6 months of heavy rain, the guests in June ushered in more than 20 days of the high temperature period, resulting in excessive water evaporation, affecting sugar cane growth. Into September, Guangxi above normal rainfall than in previous years, resulting in longer growing season of sugar cane.
Li Xiaojiang expected Laibin this year's sugar cane production will drop 10% year on year, down from last year's 9.41 million tons to 850 tons. Guangxi is the major sugar producing areas, sugar production accounts for more than 70%. Nanning, Guangxi, tied for the guests and the second largest sugar cane producing areas, the largest producing area for the Chongzuo, the fourth to Liuzhou.
Guangxi Laibin City ancient town of Bin dental practice, Shi Wei Xiaozhong village of sugarcane farmers to judge the case of the above evidence. Weijia 6 acres of sugar cane planted this year, is expected to yield 5 tons per acre, total production of 30 tons is expected. Weijia 8 acres planted last year,UGGs, sugar cane, production of 6 tons per acre, total production of 48 tons. Aside due to lack of manpower at home to reduce planting 2 acres of sugar cane, the cane yield per mu Weijia a decrease of 16%. Weixiao Zhong said that this is because earlier this year suffered a severe drought in Guangxi, sugarcane emergence less than in previous years.
However, this does not represent the whole situation of Guangxi. Guangxi Sugar Network in September according to the survey, although the sugar cane growing and Liuzhou guests than last year, but Chongzuo and Nanning sugar cane growing even more than last year quite a year ago. In the October survey conducted recently, even though sugar cane will be cut LAIBIN 10%, about 100 million tons, but the region's sugar cane Chongzuo yield 200 million tons this year, while the two regions of Nanning and Liuzhou basic and sugar cane production last year. Estimates down, this year's sugar cane production in Guangxi or even increase. Similar to judge from the Guangxi Sugar Association is also chairman of agricultural light. He was October 17 in Kunming, Yunnan sugar industry forum at the introduction in 2010, Guangxi Bureau of Statistics data show that the area of sugarcane planted 1530 hectares. Increase in acreage over last year, but the number of Guangxi sugar yield is not large.
the 10 trading days in October, the white sugar futures rose 16.14%, approaching the spot market price 7000 yuan mark. Follow-up or retreat?
previews signs of wheeled agricultural speculation can hardly be low tide
to have started the
Galaxy Futures analyst Guo Xianyang, said the reason why hot money locked in agricultural products this year, simply because of abundant liquidity, but has risen compared to the industrial and agricultural products still in the value of the depressions. In inflation expectations, people's lives consumer prices will rise.
Bao Hongbo said that speculation in the choice of varieties of capital is often tight supply and demand side options, both countries do not have strong regulatory capacity of the agricultural products.
with sugar, for example, in 1400 China's annual consumption of tons, the output of the previous crop was 10.74 million tons in the first 8 months of imports 1.01 million tons, is expected to import 120 million tons the year. Sugar, plus some State Reserve, China's annual sugar supply and demand gap of 100 million tons. Surface tension of sugar supply and demand has not improved in recent years.
Li Fan said, is that the gap between supply and demand of sugar in October each year is difficult to make, capital of Jiangsu and Zhejiang would come in ahead of the layout of sugar speculation. Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange data, financial background with Jiangsu and Zhejiang, Zhejiang Wing, Pearl River Futures, futures and other new lake has been started from May to do more sugar futures. Zheng sugar structure of the main contract sr1105 position shown, Zhejiang Wing were tested in recent months more than a single monthly increase trend.
expected in sugar prices, the industry, hedge funds will is not strong. Currently, the main contract ZCE sugar, there are funds figure Wanda sugar futures, grain futures in the single is not much space.
Guo Xianyang that wheeled agricultural futures speculation context is very clear. . Weak regulation of the species prone to substantial price increases, sugar, cotton is the case. The case of cotton, the country is difficult to stabilize and then by releasing the stock price of cotton. In fact, in October the new cotton market, the acquisition approach around the capital, buying serious, occurred in many parts of the phenomenon can not receive the cotton.
sugar is all about. China's annual import quota of 1.92 million tons of sugar, but with the high international price of sugar imports sugar imports will lead to a loss is not strong, but with the shortage of sugar in recent years, the State Reserve sugar less and less ability for market regulation increasingly weaker. This is also the market is willing to take over the State Reserve sugar at high prices the reason why,
Li Xiaojiang said guests had been sugar-free sugar to sell. Although China Securities News, the monthly production and sales in a single guest to see the guests there are 26 tons of sugar stock, but Li Xiaojiang,UGG boots clearance, these sugars have been stolen to sell.
capacity and for stronger national regulation of rice, the price is not likely there was a substantial rise. Bao Hongbo, first, the national rice stock is more abundant, and second, if the sharp rise of food will push cpi, and thus a greater degree of living. He believes that with the variety of wheeled agricultural prices, the future of soybean, soybean oil may be the species most likely to rise.
Guo Xianyang share the view that oil will further open up space. Since July, oil prices rose about 30%. In his view, this wave of bull market of agricultural products will eventually end soybean oil prices climbed to the peak is expected in March next year, in April in South America, Brazil, Argentina and other legumes harvested before exporting countries.
Resident Mission Asian Development Bank senior economist Zhuang Jian said, rising prices of agricultural products, natural disasters are very important factors, supply of agricultural products has been a greater impact. To the present case, ample market liquidity, leading to speculation of funds looking for profitable export. Select speculation because of its agricultural products is not the amount of funding, the risk is small, more easily speculation. However, the current hype of agricultural products should be short, when there are investment opportunities in other markets, such speculation would certainly leave himself.
Bao Hongbo warned that the last couple of years, agricultural CBBC cycle is very short, 2007 was a bull, a bear market in 2008, while just more than 1 year and then to the bull market. CBBC conversion too fast, to be alert to turn down after the market soaring.
said Zhuang Jian, a short-term administrative measures to suppress part of the speculation, and long-term supply and demand in the market will absorb the impact of this part. In addition, after raising interest rates, raising the deposit reserve ratio to a large extent the source of speculative funds tightened, future speculation should be gradually reduced.
NDRC price Zhou Wang Jun, deputy director, said recently that do not tend to easily start the administrative means to intervene in the market and hope through economic means, including raising interest rates, means throwing Reserve to deal with these price increases on the economy fundamentals is better to some.
speculation. markets, such as pe, industrial investment funds.
In addition, some experts suggest that transaction prices of agricultural products should be established detection mechanism, improve the price fluctuations and low-income subsidy linkage mechanism.
financial speculation often choose to tight supply and demand side, countries do not have strong regulatory capacity of the agricultural products. Varieties of agricultural products presented this year round dynamic bull market potential, soybeans, soybean oil could become the next most likely to increase variety.
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